24 Sep 2020

Home of the NFL Offseason

Bradley Roby Free Agent Outlook

6-year veteran who spent 5 seasons with the Denver Broncos before signing a 1-year deal with the Houston Texans prior to the 2019 season. Played in 89 career games, starting 39 of them with 25 starts coming in the last 2 seasons. 68 PBU’s in his career with 9 INT’s, 3 TD’s and 8 FF’s. Also, 4 career sacks and 274 total tackles. Roby finished 2019 with 38 tackles, 1 sack, 1 FF, 8 PBU’s and 2 INT’s in 10 games; his first season with fewer than 10 PBU’s since 2016. Also, Roby finished 2019 with 0 PI calls, and only 4 penalties worth 30 yards. Roby is considered “Low-Risk” free agent regarding his health due to missing only 1 game in his career with an unspecified ankle injury in 2018. However, in 2019, missed 6 games due to a nagging hamstring suffered against the Chiefs. Roby is currently 27 years-old and will turn 28 in May. Although Roby did not start many games in Denver due to position depth, he saw a good amount of playing time, seeing snap percentages between 56% and 85%.

PROS:

Good AA; a 4.3 guy with good explosiveness to break on balls with good recovery speed. Good versatility to play man and zone coverage out on an island and lined up as the Slot CB. Good physicality and technique in open-field tackling. Squares up the ball carrier and attacks the lower body and wraps up around the legs. Good physicality at the LOS with smaller, faster receivers. Very good competitive and mental toughness. Matches up with the opponent’s best receivers and doesn’t back down from the challenge and plays fast and fearless for all 4 quarters. Man Coverage: Good awareness and consistency keeping inside shade technique on receiver’s pre-snap, and not giving up the inside leverage off the LOS. Good UOH at the LOS, doesn’t get caught up in trying to fight WR, but knows when to stay patient with the jam and when to get into his drop and run with his man. Good job staying on the receiver’s hip with good discipline not to reach when recovering. Displays very good speed to match 1-on-1 matchups in press, soft-press, and off coverages. Good discipline in off-coverage to stay patient and not commit too soon to head fakes etc. Good eye-discipline as well, mirroring the receiver’s hips and remaining in his technique to break on balls or flip his hips and run up-field. Zone Coverage: Good discipline in zone, executes his assignment, and maintains good discipline with his eyes when the QB begins to improvise.

CONS:

Adequate size for the position; thin, wiry frame with arms on the shorter side. Easily gets boxed out by bigger receivers on 50-50 balls. Poor tackling when he knows help is in the area; loses the technique to wrap up at or below the waist and attempts to tackle too high.

PROJECTION:

Roby has said he hopes to stay in Houston, but every FA seems to say things like that. Roby certainly has a market if he hits it, and being a few years younger than bigger names like Chris Harris, Josh Norman and Jimmy Smith, there are teams with a more than sufficient front end of the defense that need help on the back-end. Seattle could let Clowney walk, and currently, they rank 29th in CB positional spending. If Tampa signs Rivers like I think they will, their win-now mentality could force them to sign Roby as well and go all-in on this opportunity to capitalize within the next couple of years. Another team, who I think may have the best need/fit for Roby’s services are the Eagles. The secondary was decimated by injuries in 2019, they potentially lose Ronald Darby and Jalen Mills to FA, and will have roughly $41M in cap space with a very good front-end of the defense to make Roby look like an All-Pro. This is definitely a Howie Roseman move, and could be a major piece of a puzzle that winds up being a great offseason for Philadelphia. My guess is Roby receives around $11-$12.5M per year, which puts him in the Darius Slay, Chris Harris, and Malcom Butler range.

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